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| January 2008 Stock Picks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Name | SYM | Exch. | Sector | Industry | Date Picked | Pick Price (per share) |
ASG |
| Denbury Resources Inc. | DNR | NYSE | Energy | Oil & Gas Operations | 01/04/08 | $31.16 | 48.20 (Good) |
| Arena Resources Inc | ARD | NYSE | Energy | Oil & Gas Operations | 01/11/08 | $42.12 | 48.96 (Good) |
| The Mosaic Co. | MOS | NYSE | Basic Materials | Chemical Manufacturing | 01/18/08 | $80.02 | 42.84 (Good) |
| Meridian Bioscience Inc. | VIVO | NASD | Healthcare | Biotechnology & Drugs | 01/25/08 | $32.60 | 52.02 (Very Good) |
Denbury Resources Inc. (NYSE:
DNR) is engaged in the acquisition, development, operation and exploration
of oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf
Coast region of the United States, primarily in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama,
and Texas. DNR's tertiary operations are its principal focus and core
assets. To date, DNR does not have any industry competition in its region
of operation. Generally, from the Texas Gulf Coast to Florida, there are no
known significant natural sources of carbon dioxide (CO2) except those of
DNR's, and these large volumes of CO2 are the foundation for DNR's
entire tertiary program.
CO2 is one of the most efficient tertiary recovery mechanisms for crude oil. The
CO2 acts somewhat like a solvent for the oil, removing it from the oil bearing
formation as the CO2 passes through the rock. CO2 tertiary floods are unique
because they require large volumes of CO2 , which is limited to a few geological
basins, one of which is DNR's source near Jackson, Mississippi. Further,
the most efficient way to transport CO2 is via dedicated pipelines, which are
also in limited supply. Because the sources and methods of transportation of CO2
are limited, only 3% or 250,000 Bbls/d of the United States domestic oil
production is derived from tertiary recovery projects. While enhanced oil
recovery (EOR) projects utilizing CO2 may not be considered a new technology,
DNR applies several additional technologies to
the fields: well evaluations, new completion or stimulation techniques,
operating equipment and seismic interpretations. DNR began its CO2
operations in August 1999 and have since embarked upon a strategic program to
improve its knowledge of CO2 production and tertiary recovery to build a
dominant position in this niche play. Proved undeveloped reserves associated
with DNR's CO2 tertiary operations in Mississippi account for
approximately 82% of its proved undeveloped oil reserves. DNR's proved
undeveloped natural gas reserves account for approximately 96% of its proved
undeveloped natural gas reserves. All of DNR's operations are in the
United States.
The
stock's price gained 29.6% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 30.1%);
56.7% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's58.8%); and 139.1% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 158.5%).
DNR
is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $7.61B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 3 (Average).
DNR was
originally incorporated in Canada in 1951. In 1992, DNR acquired all of
the shares of a United States operating company, Denbury Management, Inc. (DMI),
and subsequent to the merger, all of DNR's Canadian assets were
sold. Since that time, all of DNR's operations have been in the United
States. DNR's principal executive offices
are at
Plana, Texas.
DNR has
629 employees.
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Operations; Ticker:DNR; Exch: NYSE; 01/04/08 Closing Price: $31.16
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.20 ( GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
| Management's Effectiveness (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Return on Equity: | 17.33% |
| Profitability (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Profit Margin: | 24.94% |
| Stock's Growth Record (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Revenue: | 30.54% |
| . . . | EPS: | 17.55% | |
| . . . | Price: | 139.14% | |
| . . . | Dividend: | NA | |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Price/Earnings: | 38.66 |
| . . . | Earnings/Share: | 0.61 | |
| Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) | . . . | Pick Date 01/04/2007: | $31.16 |
|
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $31.16) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e., higher than the 13-day EMA price (of $29.86) and over the 50-day EMA (of $27.67) by 4.35% and 12.61% respectively. This suggests that the pick price is presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time). |
. . . | ||
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | 01/04/2008: | $29.86 |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | 01/04/2008: | $27.67 |
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (Current) | . . . | Current Price | Quote |
| Price / Share (Historical) | . . . | Historical Price | Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Denbury
posts record or near
record production, cash flow and earnings figures for 3rd quarter of 2007.
(Business Wire, November 1, 2007).
2. Denbury
reports total proved oil and natural gas reserves as of December 31, 2006
which replaces 260% ot the company's 2006 production
(SmartBrief; February 6, 2007).
3.
Denbury partners with Rentech Inc. for the use of all captured carbon
dioxide from Rentech’s proposed synthetic fuels plant
to be built in Mississippi.(SmartBrief;
June 25, 2007)
4.
OPEC, crude oil
prices and Denbury's stock price.
(Reuters; November 12, 2007).
5.
"Energy Stocks on the Cheap". Denbury is among these
stocks.
(Forbes; December 15, 2007)
Arena Resources Inc. (NYSE: ARD)
is engaged in oil and
natural gas acquisition, exploration, development and production, with
activities currently in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico and Kansas.
ARD focus is
on developing its existing properties, while continuing to pursue acquisitions
of oil and gas properties with upside potential. Since its inception in August
2000, ARD
have built its asset base and achieved growth primarily through property
acquisitions.
ARD have a
portfolio of oil and natural gas reserves, with approximately 84% of its proved
reserves consisting of oil and approximately 16% consisting of natural gas. Of
those reserves approximately 28% of the proved reserves are classified as proved
developed producing, or “PDP,” approximately 5% of the proved reserves are
classified as proved developed non-producing, or “PDNP,” approximately 5% are
classified as proved developed behind pipe “PDBP,” and approximately 62% are
classified as proved undeveloped, or “PUD.”
ARD
principally sell its oil and natural gas production to end users, marketers and
other purchasers that have access to nearby pipeline facilities. In areas where
there is no practical access to pipelines, oil is trucked to storage facilities.
For fiscal year 2006, sales to one customer, Navajo Refining Company,
represented 82% of oil and gas revenues. At December 31, 2006, this customer
represented 80% of
ARD's
accounts receivable. Approximately thirty-nine percent (39%) of
ARD's
reserves for the year ended December 31, 2006 are associated with secondary
recovery projects that are either in the initial stage of implementation or are
scheduled for implementation.
ARD anticipate
that secondary recovery will be attempted by the use of waterflood of these
reserves, and the exact project initiation dates and, by the very nature of
waterflood operations, the exact completion dates of such projects, are
undetermined.
The
stock's price gained 21.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 41.9%);
40.6% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 88.6%); and 125.5% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 246.3%).
ARD
is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $1.44B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
ARD was
incorporated in 2000 and its principal executive offices
are located at Tulsa, Oklahoma.
ARD has
52 employees.
Sector: Energy; Industry: Oil & Gas Operations; Ticker:ARD; Exch: NYSE; 01/11/08 Closing Price: $42.12
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.96 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
| Management's Effectiveness (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Return on Equity: | 16.70% |
| Profitability (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Profit Margin: | 37.11% |
| Stock's Growth Record (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Revenue: | 131.24% |
| . . . | EPS: | 106.29% | |
| . . . | Price: | 125.54% | |
| . . . | Dividend: | NA | |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Price/Earnings: | 45.29 |
| . . . | Earnings/Share: | 0.93 | |
| Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) | . . . | Pick Date 01/11/2008: | $42.12 |
|
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $42.12) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e., higher than the 13-day EMA price (of $41.70) and 50-day EMA (of $38.91) by 1.00% and 8.24% respectively. This suggests that the pick price is presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time). |
. . . | ||
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | 01/11/2008: | $41.70 |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | 01/11/2008: | $38.91 |
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (Current) | . . . | Current Price | Quote |
| Price / Share (Historical) | . . . | Historical Price | Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Arena
Resources had record third quarter financial and operating results. (Business Wire,
November 9, 2007).
2. Arena
Resources adds an estimated 8
million barrels of oil equivalent of proved reserves in West Texas.
(Business
Wire; December 12, 2007).
^Top page
The Mosaic Co. (NYSE:
MOS)
is a producer and
marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients for the global
agriculture industry.
MOS
is a single source supplier of phosphate-, potash- and nitrogen-based crop
nutrients and animal feed ingredients.
MOS
serve customers in approximately 45 countries; have phosphate mining operations
in Florida and phosphate production facilities in Florida and Louisiana; potash
mines and production facilities in Saskatchewan, Canada, New Mexico and
Michigan; strategic equity investments in phosphate and nitrogen production
facilities in Brazil and Canada; and other production, blending or distribution
operations or equity investments in nearly a dozen countries, including the top
four nutrient consuming countries in the world.
MOS
is organized into four business segments: Phosphates, Potash, Offshore and
Nitrogen. The Phosphates Segment is the largest producer of phosphate fertilizer
in the world and the largest producer of phosphate-based animal feed ingredients
in the United States.
MOS
sell phosphate-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients throughout North
America and internationally. The Potash Segment is the third-largest producer of
potash in the world.
MOS
sell potash throughout North America and internationally, principally as
fertilizer, but also for use in industrial applications and, to a lesser degree,
as animal feed ingredients. The
Offshore Segment consists of sales offices, fertilizer blending and bagging
facilities, port terminals and warehouses in several key international
countries. The Nitrogen Segment includes the distribution of nitrogen-based
fertilizer in North America.
The
stock's price gained 28.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 35.7%);
106.3% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 120.7%); and 264.7% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 298.4%).
MOS
is classified as a
large-cap growth company (with a market cap of $35.46B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 3 (Average).
MOS was
incorporated in 2004 and its principal executive offices
are located at Plymouth, Minnesota.
MOS has
7,100 employees.
Sector: Basic Materials; Industry: Chemical Manufacturing; Ticker:MOS; Exch: NYSE; 01/18/08 Closing Price: $80.02
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 42.84 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
| Management's Effectiveness (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Return on Equity: | 21.37% |
| Profitability (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Profit Margin: | 13.19% |
| Stock's Growth Record (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Revenue: | 8.82% |
| . . . | EPS: | 374.95% | |
| . . . | Price: | 377.43% | |
| . . . | Dividend: | NA | |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Price/Earnings: | 48.26 |
| . . . | Earnings/Share: | 2.13 | |
| Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) | . . . | Pick Date 01/18/2008: | $80.02 |
|
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $80.02) is under the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e., lower than the 13-day EMA price (of $91.33) and 50-day EMA (of $82.19) by -12.38% and -2.65% respectively. This suggests that the pick price IS presently timely AND advantageous buy price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time). |
. . . | ||
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | 01/18/2008: | $91.33 |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | 01/18/2008: | $82.19 |
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (Current) | . . . | Current Price | Quote |
| Price / Share (Historical) | . . . | Historical Price | Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Mosaic
beats the Street's earning estimates. (Forbes.com;
January 9, 2008)
2. Mosaic's
6-fold increase in profit propels 3-fold increase in share price. (The Motley Fool; January 11, 2008).
3. Mosaic thriving on fertile ground. (Forbes.com; December 20, 2007)
4. Mosaic is best-managed company in the Chemicals industry. ("America's
Best Big Companies"; Forbes.com; December 20, 2007)
5.
Crops & Ag sector pulling back; a buy opportunity or just let the good times go?
(MarketWatch; January 15, 2008).
^Top page
Meridian Bioscience Inc. (NASD:
VIVO)
is an integrated life
science company whose principal businesses are the development, manufacture,
sale and
distribution of diagnostic test kits, primarily for certain respiratory,
gastrointestinal, viral and parasitic infectious diseases; the manufacture and
distribution of bulk antigens, antibodies, and reagents used by researchers and
other diagnostic manufacturers; and the contract manufacture of proteins and
other
biologicals for use by biopharmaceutical and biotechnology companies engaged in
research for new drugs and vaccines.
VIVO's diagnostic test kits utilize
immunodiagnostic technologies, which test samples of blood, urine, stool, and
other body fluids or tissue for the presence of antigens and antibodies of
specific infectious diseases.
VIVO's diagnostic products are used
principally in the detection of respiratory diseases, such as pneumonia, valley
fever, influenza, and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV); gastrointestinal
diseases, such as stomach ulcers (H. pylori ), antibiotic-associated diarrhea
(C. difficile ) and pediatric diarrhea (Rotavirus and Adenovirus); viral
diseases, such as Mononucleosis, Herpes Simplex, Chicken Pox and Shingles (Varicella-Zoster)
and Cytomegalovirus.
The global market for infectious disease tests continues to expand as new
disease states are identified, new therapies become available, and worldwide
standards of living and access to health care improve. More importantly, within
this market there is a continuing shift from conventional testing, which
requires highly-trained personnel and lengthy turnaround times for test results,
to more technologically advanced testing which can be performed by less
highly-trained personnel and
completed in minutes or hours.
The
stock's price gained 0.9% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's -11.6%);
42.9% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 6.3%); and 67.9% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 18.9%).
VIVO
is classified as a
small-cap growth company (with a market cap of $1.30B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
Meridian was
founded in 1976 and its principal executive offices
are located at Cincinnati, Ohio.
VIVO has
396 employees.
Sector:
Healthcare;
Industry:
Biotechnology & Drug;
Ticker: VIVO;
Exch:
NASD;
01/25/08 Closing Price:
$32.60
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 52.02 (VERY GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
| Management's Effectiveness (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Return on Equity: | 25.78% |
| Profitability (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Profit Margin: | 21.10% |
| Stock's Growth Record (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Revenue: | 13.42% |
| . . . | EPS: | 43.70% | |
| . . . | Price: | 67.92% | |
| . . . | Dividend: | 42.86% | |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) | . . . | Price/Earnings: | 46.64 |
| . . . | Earnings/Share: | 0.70 | |
| Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) | . . . | Pick Date 01/25/2008: | $32.60 |
|
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $32.60) is under the 13- and over the 50-day EMA price range; i.e., lower than the 13-day EMA price (of $33.20) and higher than the 50-day EMA (of $31.78) by -1.81% and 2.58% respectively. This suggests that the pick price IS presently timely AND advantageous buy price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time). |
. . . | ||
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | 01/25/2008: | $33.20 |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | 01/25/2008: | $31.78 |
| Price / Share (13-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (50-day EMA) | . . . | Current: | |
| Price / Share (Current) | . . . | Current Price | Quote |
| Price / Share (Historical) | . . . | Historical Price | Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Meridian reports record fiscal
2007 operating results. (Business
Wire; November 14, 2007)
2. Meridian provides sales and
earnings guidance for fiscal 2008. (SmartBrief August 14, 2007).
3. Meridian's profits surge in 1Q 2008. (Cincinnati
Enquirer; January 22, 2008)
4.
Discipline, R&D Boost Meridian
(CNN
Money; January 25 2008).
5. Top stocks of the next 50 yrs. Meridian's among the stocks.
(Motley
Fool; November 24, 2007)
^Top page
February
2008 Stock Picks
Stock Name
SYM
Exch.
Sector
Industry
Date Picked
Pick Price
(per share)
ASG
Randgold Resources Ltd. ADR
GOLD
NASD
Basic Material
Gold & Silver
02/04/08
$44.19
49.73 (Good)
Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers Inc.
RBA
NYSE
Services
Retail (Specialty)
02/08/08
$84.19
52.79 (Very Good)
Comp Siderurgica Nacional ADS.
SID
NYSE
Basic Materials
Iron & Steel
02/15/08
$35.33
45.90 (Good)
CF Industries Inc.
CF
NYSE
Basic Materials
Chemical Manufacturing
02/22/08
$125.86
48.20 (Good)
Compass Minerals International Inc.
CMP
NYSE
Basic Materials
Non-Metallic Mining
02/29/08
$56.92
48.96 (Good)
Randgold Resources Ltd. ADR (NASD:
GOLD)
is engaged in gold
mining and exploration that are focused on West and East Africa.
RANDGOLD seeks to